I'm sorry, not sorry!
- oshea2707

- Aug 8, 2023
- 3 min read
Updated: Aug 21, 2023
For the last 2 years this blog has been built upon each way thievery. Picking out players on stats, course set up, trends and history. Value, which is in the eye of the beholder, has led me to some big price winners and big price placings over the last couple of years....and ultimately some big profits. I'm not changing, there is no break in tradition but this week the system goes in the bin, as I can't get away from 1 man!
So last week, a rest week for me, led to 2 of my recent favourites going head to head on Sunday. Lucas Glover coming out on top over Russell Henley, and how sweet it was to see Lucas, and his Golf Mezz Proto putter do the business. To see such a wonderful player, find some confidence on the greens is such a thing of beauty, and given his 10 years of yips with the short ones, this will be a new dawn for the US Open winner, and he richly deserves it. Henley had really disappointed when I've put him up, I thought his putter was looking warmer but he just couldn't put it all together. He will be thereabouts in the play offs though, and if he makes it to the BMW I think that course will suit him must better than this week so one for the notebook.
The Fed Ex St Jude, at TPC Southwind, was won by Will Zalatoris and this blog last year. Sadly Will's back injury won't see him return, but in a stellar field of the tour's top 70 players the quality going into this week is very exciting. I'm putting up 4 players this week and the first pick is shameful.
This par 70, 7244 yard layout demands long hitting off the tee, strong iron play and critically an ability to putt on Bermuda greens. It's a test of skill, strength and stamina and very rarely with all of those facets do you see JOHN RAHM not contend. He is a filthy 10/1 e/w 3 places with Bet365 and I'm 10 points each way. Every single parameter matches and that value is better than a win only, so half of the points are on him....again it's not the usual, but I cannot see past Rambo this week.
Next up is another obvious one, but his odds are very surprising. WYNDHAM CLARK is an inexplicable 30/1 8 places with Bet365 this week, he sits 5th in the Fedex standings, 11th in the world, he is a 2 time winner and major winner this year, he hits it a mile, he's become ice cold under pressure and he even showed prowess on the English Links. There are no weaknesses and given his odds we are 6pts e/w this week.
2 outsiders to finish and last weeks hero is taken to go well again. Length may hold him back slightly, but it will be devilishly warm in Tennessee this week and it should be quite firm so his accuracy may be a great weapon given the rough should be lush given recent storms there. LUCAS GLOVER and his putting contraption are 70/1 top 8 this week and he is great value with Bet365, especially given his confidence, proven with a 4th, 5th, 6th, MC and 1st in his last 5 starts. 3pts e/w!
Last but by no means least we bring up the rear with a guy who I would have put up last week. I don't like players who are on the fringes of the 70 as they play with a lot of pressure, but given that SAM RYDER is playing this week, is more pressure off than on, given nobody would have put him in the top 70 this season apart from him and maybe his mum if he was in earshot. He has had 4 top 10s this season but a rotten last few months, missing 7 out of 10 cuts since his 3rd at the Valero. However he has been hovering around the first page of the leaderboard in his last 2 starts, finishing 7th at the 3M and 38th last week. In a breakthrough season for him, he can play with the handbrake off this week, all 4 of his top 10s come on Bermuda this season, he averages 1.7 putts per round on Bermuda, so form and suitability don't marry up with his 300/1 odds and with Betfair going 7 places the last 1 point is on him e/w with quiet confidence.
Good luck everyone
TEWT




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