The RBC in Toronto Ey
- oshea2707
- Jun 3
- 4 min read
So we all breathe a sigh of relief as Scottie has decided to give everyone else a chance in Canada this week as the PGA tour heads to The RBC Canadian Open at TPC Toronto on the North Course. The 2nd oldest event on tour outside of the majors, this is the first visit to this course, and it's a beast, so scores will be modest again for a 4th week running.
Mcilroy is short priced favourite which is great because he can't win here after his pressure release post Masters. He is not driving it well, I don't know where his head or heart is at and his price allows us to get value further down the list. Also short on the price list Aberg is not a play here, he is hitting his irons dreadfully still so the main dangers who aren't a play here are Connors and Lowry, but neither can be relied on with the putter.
I've been doing this blog for over 3 years now, and in all this time, I have NEVER seen a poorer set of odds and place offerings across the board. The likes of Bet365, Paddy Power and Betfair who usually offer value, have given us nothing, I don't know what has happened but it has forced my hand slightly in upping the investment. Whether there is a reaction to fav backers making hay on Scottie, or just a wilful negligence in the compilers, it's a disgraceful set of odds and it has made things very hard, let's hope it's a blip, but it's not like they are skint is it, robbing bastards need to sort themselves out.
At almost 7400 yards this par 70 starts and ends in par 5s and they are the only 5s on the layout. A lot of trees, a lot of rough, small greens and very few bunkers, accuracy is the key here and we go 5 strong and 40 points, in an attempt to go for a 3rd win in 3 years after Taylor then Bobby Mac both went in at huge prices in 23 and 24.
First up course experience could be a huge advantage for TAYLOR PENDRITH and he has played here a lot. The Canadian grew up in Richmond Hill in Toronto so it is home from home for him. He is top 40 in the world now, 29th in the Fedex standings, 4th on tour driving, 31st stroked gained approach and a reasonable week on these greens will see him go close. As we have 156 going to post it has become quite trappy as a lot of bookies aren't paying best odds on 8 places yet, but at 28/1 with Paddy Power 6 places he is well worth 6pts e/w here.
Another Canadian next, and it's an obvious pick in name but the price available for NICK TAYLOR is what is of real interest. He played superb last week, he has been consistent this season if unspectacular (other than his win at the Sony early doors), but his 17th at the Truist and 4th last week just stinks of money. He won for us at 70s in 2023 and although he is one of the leading chances here, he is down the list at 35/1. 5pts e/w with Hills 8 Places in a bet to nothing in my opinion.
Although I worry about the length this week for ERIC COLE, there is a trending feel about him. His worse finish since mid March was last week, in 44th, but even then he played some really good stuff and my eyes at Memorial showed me more than his bare scoring. It has been dry so there will be some run out off the tee and there is something about him when he is healthy and playing solid, he may not be a stand out winning chance but at 66/1 his place chances are very appealing, so we go 3pts e/w with Ladbrokes who are paying 10 places.
Next, someone who we have seen recently on the blog, RYO HISATSUNE is a much more likely chance to win than Eric, and although maybe not as solid, the 23yr old wonder kid is just strutting on tour recently and the cameras could well be following him around a fair bit. 3 top 10s (4th, 5th and 6th) and 2 top 20s in his last 9 starts the Japanese star does everything efficiently. He has the game and the temperament and I've just got a thing for him, he is a born winner and at 70/1, 3pts investment is probably not enough but the staking plan must be obeyed, Hills 8 places.
Last up I've switched out Max Homa from the initial picks, he has just failed to qualify for the US Open in Ontario and he has also split from his caddie, and thus carried his own bag for 38 holes on Monday. The progress in his game recently is pretty much meaningless after that, and until Max sorts his life and his head out he can't be considered.
It then came down to 2 Englishmen, and despite qualifying in Ontario for Oakmont with ease, Matt Wallace just misses out in favour of JUSTIN ROSE. Rosey is very much feast or famine these days, but there is something about the course layout and some of the approach shots that will just suit his eye. He is one of the worlds finest iron players and where approach play is a premium, he should be a live chance, on such a classic test. He's 70/1 with Hills, 8 places and we are 3pts e/w.
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