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The tractor classic at TPC tractor run.

  • Writer: oshea2707
    oshea2707
  • Jul 4, 2023
  • 4 min read

This week we head to The John Deere, TPC Deere run, in the second longest sponsorship deal on the PGA tour and SIX, yes SIX picks.

TPC Deere run Illinois, sits 200 miles West of Chicago and this 7,258 yard par 71 has bentgrass greens and fairways and will be beautifully manicured to allow players the best scoring conditions throughout the week. Scores are 20 under or better more often than not and this week the key stat other than putting will be on approach, as generous fairways give players a good view at hitting into greens protected by sand and elevation. If you're on the short grass, then it's all systems go. The best iron player in the field this week is Russell Henley, but despite putting him up week on week, I just can't have him at 12/1 considering he keeps getting in position and not going close, so I begrudgingly look for value elsewhere.

Troy Merritt and Cam Davis both threw stupid bogeys in last week whilst others were not making similar mistakes at the top of the leaderboard. Both finished 2 shots out of a place, but it was amazing to watch the scenes as Rickie holed that 10 footer to win, and who knows, maybe a repeat performance of Hoylake could see something similar.

A reduced quality field this week sees Denny McCarthy and Russell Henley top the list this week. To see Cam Young at 20/1 in places would have once seen me do 15pts e/w on him, but his recent woes, with putter, and swing tinkering have me worried about his game and I can't touch him,

In order of preference this week I go straight in to a bloke I deride constantly, for his abysmal putting. LUCAS GLOVER has the yips, not had, has. He's had the yips for most of his career. He is a brilliant iron player, his ball striking is classical and beautiful but he is seldom worth backing at small odds. However, and it is a big one, he putted really well on Saturday and Sunday (3rd and 12th in the field statistically) and shot 64 and 65. To do it 2 rounds running is a real rarity for Lucas, I can't get away from him this week, and let us not forget he has 4 PGA Tour wins and the 43 year old also has the US Open to his name. If that confidence with his putter is carried over he is a live chance. He's 66/1 in many places and I'm 2.5pts e/w with Skybet, 8 places.

Next up we have blog regular who has been in contention going into many weekends this year but has yet to deliver an outcome his ability should. KEITH MITCHELL and his visor hasn't been seen since his 20th place at the US Open, but nothing other than class draws me to him. He has finished midfield on most Bentgrass courses this year so that is a slight negative, but in a field of this quality he won't be looking round on the practise green seeing many other than Young and Aberg who are better than he is talent wise. His form is a worry, but class is permanent, and whilst he should be 2nd fav here, I'm all over Skybet's huge 28/1, 8 places with 5pts e/w.

So onto MARK HUBBARD. No 300/1 this week, he has shown way too much to punters and odds compilers this year, and despite letting us down at Memorial with that awful last round 79, this was bookended by two top 10 places. He is 16th on tour on approach, and best in this field, so again value looks strong here. I love the place hopes, but I also like players who have been in contention recently and for the first time, so at 66/1 with Skybet I'm 2.5pts e/w same as with Glover to make one of the 8 places at least!

With absolutely no form in the last 6 weeks I tentatively put TAYLOR MONTGOMERY forward this week, given all of the great things I have said early season and his performances until March. He hasn't played well since that awful 2 hours at the Players, but all good and bad things have to end, and he still sits 2nd on tour SG putting despite the poor run. He has a raw talent, if he can create some early chances he could find his way again this week, normally he would be 20/1 but for the slump, so purely on value, at 55/1 with Hills top 8 I'm 3pts e/w, because if he does contend I would never forgive myself.

A big spread this week, and two huge odds for 2 very different reasons. First up we have AUSTIN COOK. It's a year of the Canadian, and Austin plays well here. He has fallen off a cliff since that virus thing that happened in 2020, but prior to that, despite being one of the shortest hitters on tour, he had won, had 4 top 5's and made $6m since joining the tour in 2018. His year has been poor, but at 500/1 for a player who came 16th here last year, maybe good vibes driving onto property will see him have a good week. 1pt e/w Hills top 8. Finally a wild stab in the dark for a bloke who has made only 1 top 20 in 20 events and has missed 14 missed cuts However KEVIN ROY has a game built around his irons. His long iron stats are decent and with some long par 3's here and wide fairways, maybe, just maybe, the 28th best player on tour in strokes gained approach, could do something silly. It's 1pt e/w, it's 500/1 and it's 8 places with Skybet, so hey ho 6th of my 6 picks is the 33yr old rookie from Syracuse, NY.


In Summary (all 8 places Skybet unless specified)

Keith Mitchell 5pts e/w 28/1

Taylor Montgomery 3pts e/w 55/1 Hills

Lucas Glover 2.5pts e/w 66/1

Mark Hubbard 2.5pts e/w 66/1

Austin Cook 1pt e/w 500/1 Hills

Kevin Roy 1pt e/w 500/1


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